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Global economy 'dangerously close' to a recession: World Bank_我的网站

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C |     Washington, Oct 14 (UNI) The global economy is "dangerously close" to a recession, as inflation remains elevated, interest rates rise, and growing debt burden hits the developing world, World Bank President David Malpass said.



"We've lowered our 2023 growth forecast from 3 per cent to 1.9 per cent for the global growth, that's dangerously close to a world recession," Malpass on Thursday said at a press conference during the IMF and World Bank annual meetings.



"All of the problems that people have taken note of, the inflation problem, the interest rate rises, and the cutoff of capital flow to developing world hit the poor hard," he said, highlighting the buildup of debt for developing countries.



"That's a world recessions could happen under certain circumstances," Malpass said.



In a study published in mid-September, the World Bank warned that as central banks across the world simultaneously hike interest rates in response to inflation, the world may be edging toward a global recession in 2023, with a growth forecast of only 0.5 per cent.



The World Bank chief noted at the press conference that world population growth is estimated at 1.1 per cent per year. "So if you get much slower in terms of world growth, that means people are going backward," Malpass said in response to a question from Xinhua.



Citing a recent World Bank report, Malpass said that Covid-19 pandemic dealt the biggest setback to global poverty-reduction efforts since 1990, pushing about 70 million people into extreme poverty in 2020, and the war in Ukraine threatens to make matters worse.



According to the Poverty and Shared Prosperity Report, global median income declined by 4 per cent in 2020, the first decline since its measurements of median income began in 1990.



"So if we have a world recession now, that would also depress median income, meaning that the people in the lower half of the income scale are going down," Malpass said.



The World Bank chief also noted that he has been concerned about the concentration of capital in the world in the top end of the advanced economies.



"So that's, I think, one of the issues that the world has to deal with to allow capital to flow to new businesses and to developing countries, that would take a change in the direction of fiscal and monetary policies in the advanced economies," said Malpass.



The world is facing very challenging environment from the advanced economies, and that has serious implications, dangers for the developing countries, he said. "My deep concern is that these conditions and trends might persist into 2023 and 2024."

UNI/XINHUA PRT。                   1、特朗普宣布战争结束，海外变化如何影响A股?          今天的市场三大指数略有回撤，很多朋友担心：经历了明显反弹之后，这是否是一个过不去的关口？我们一起来看一下。                   首先亮出结论：个人理解，今天的市场实际上有一点“高原反应”，而不是由具体利空因素导致的回撤。

D | 今天除了沪指微微收平之外，我们看到创业板指跌幅达到1.22%。这个1.22%是在一个大背景之下发生的——创业板指实际上是在盘中挑战十年以来的新高，挑战失败后出现了回撤。                   十年新高本身就是一个重要的心理关口。而且在这个位置上，应该积累了很多“陈年旧账”：很多投资者可能是在2015年那波高峰时进场，此后长期深度套牢，直到今天才终于看到一点解套的希望。在这种情况下，部分筹码松动甚至卖出，都是可以理解的。因此，市场需要先解决一点历史包袱，才能继续向上突破。                   本文为妙投付费内容，上述仅为摘要，购买本专栏即可解锁完整内容。新用户可免费领本专栏7天阅读体验机会，在妙投APP-我的-权益兑换 输入“妙投888”即可领取。

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Published on:16:23:06